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While the impeachment theatrics garnered most of the headlines in recent months, the Senate has been busy confirming judges to the nation’s federal courts. The most high profile confirmation hearings during the past three years have obviously been for Trump’s two Supreme Court nominees, Brett Kavanaugh and Neil Gorsuch. However, Trump has been even more … Continue reading Trump reshapes the judiciary

The 2016 election highlighted how difficult it is to predict political outcomes with any degree of certainty. All of the most renowned political prognosticators (538’s Nate Silver, NY Times’ Nate Cohn, UVA’s Larry Sabato, Princeton Election Consortium) predicted a convincing victory for Hillary Clinton, some with certainty levels above 90%. Primaries and caucuses are even … Continue reading Possible Paths for Democratic Nomination

While Joe Biden remains ahead in the national polls, it is Bernie Sanders who leads in terms of money raised. In the fourth quarter of 2019, Sanders raised $34.5 million, significantly ahead of his closest rivals. Sanders total was particularly impressive because he eschews larger donations from businesses and wealthier donors. Pete Buttigieg placed second … Continue reading Is Sanders the new front runner?

The Census Bureau released its annual report on demographics and population trends for the country at the end of 2019. The report highlights several interesting trends, including a slowing birth rate for the country, starkly different regional growth rates, and the impact of immigration and intra-state migration. Let’s start with the basics. The U.S. population … Continue reading Demographics lag for New England

It’s not just President Trump who is tweeting these days. It’s all the candidates. So we decided to take a look at the twitter accounts to see what we could learn about each leading Democratic candidate. Here are our observations: Joe Biden’s twitter banner is “Text Joe to 30330.” It’s a bit of an odd … Continue reading Comparing the Twitter accounts of the leading Democrats

There is about five weeks to go until Iowa kicks off the 2020 Presidential nomination process with the first caucus of the year. The polls continue to show a four way race between Buttigieg, Biden, Sanders and Warren. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has Buttigieg at 22%, Sanders at 20%, Biden at 19% … Continue reading Who is the favorite in Iowa?

If you listen to many politicians and pundits these days, you would believe that the country is in dire straits. Opinion polls show that a clear majority of the country (~57%) believe that the country is headed in the wrong direction. Politicians from every political side like to say that the country is facing an … Continue reading The USA is doing well

Multiple political polls suggest that President Trump has seen a small but noticeable increase in his approval ratings. According to RCP avg. of polls, Trump’s approval rating has risen to 44.5%, his highest rating level in several months and approximately 3% higher than a month ago. By all accounts, it appears that that the Impeachment … Continue reading Trump approval rises but 2020 will likely be very close

The latest Democratic debate was a marked improvement from prior debates because of the smaller number of candidates on the stage. Having 7 candidates on the stage allowed each candidate (even Andrew Yang) to get plenty of speaking time and we found it to be a reasonably interesting debate. We also give credit to the … Continue reading The PBS / Politico Democratic Debate

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party scored a resounding victory in this week’s elections, setting the stage for Brexit to take place in 2020. The Conservatives won 364 seats in Parliament out of 650, an increase of almost 50 seats. While the UK election was dominated by the Brexit decision, the Conservatives also were … Continue reading Boris Johnson’s UK Win Scares Democrats