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So far, we have profiled three 2019 elections to watch in New England: the NH special election for state representative (won earlier this month by the Republican), the Greenwich, CT first selectman race, and the Manchester NH mayor’s race. Today, we select our fourth election to watch: the First Selectman race in Fairfield, CT. Fairfield, … Continue reading Election Watch: Fairfield CT First Selectman Race

At this week’s Democratic debate, Senator Cory Booker made a plea for Democratic unity, but both during the debate and its aftermath, several fault lines have emerged, threatening Democratic unity. The first battle line is over the proposal for Medicare for all. On one side, you have Senators Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren who both … Continue reading Democractic Disunity

We doubt that many voters watched the whole Democratic debate, but we did. Here are our top 10 observations: 1. The two leading candidates, Biden and Warren, managed to avoid major gaffes, but neither really shone. In fact, we think that many of the second tier candidates including Senator Cory Booker, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and … Continue reading The CNN/NYT Democratic Debate

Moody’s Analytics released a report by their Chief Economist that highlighted the results of their Presidential economic prediction model. Moody’s model is based on a variety of economic factors including unemployment, stock market returns and a variety of pocketbook metrics. Moody’s model has correctly predicted all the elections since 1980 except one … the 2016 … Continue reading Moody’s Predicts a Trump Victory

Yesterday, voters in Louisiana went to the polls in an open “jungle” primary election to elect their Governor. Louisiana has an unusual election system where the first election is open to all candidates. If any candidate wins more than 50% of the vote, that candidate wins the election. If no candidate breaks the 50% mark, … Continue reading The Louisiana Governor’s Race

Much of the press has been focused on recent polls showing (i) support for impeachment rising and (ii) the leading Democratic Presidential candidates enjoying a large lead over President Trump. For example, take Fox News’ latest 2020 presidential election match up between Trump and both Warren and Biden. Fox News claims that Biden and Warren … Continue reading Beware of recent Polls

Our third election that we are profiling for 2019 is the mayoral race in Manchester, NH. Manchester like many of the locations we profile is a competitive political district which can elect Republicans or Democrats. In 2016, Hillary Clinton took 51% of the vote to Trump’s 44%, but the local municipal elections have been highly … Continue reading 2019 Election Watch: Manchester Mayor’s Race

Last week we highlighted a special election to fill a New Hampshire open house seat for Rockingham County District 9 which consists of the Town of Epping. What makes this election interesting is that the Town of Epping is a swing district. Epping is admittedly a very small town of ~7,000 people but it voted … Continue reading Republican wins NH special election for State House

President Trump’s decision to withdraw American forces from Syria and not to intervene in Turkey’s incursion into the border area between Turkey and Syria has suddenly united the Washington establishment in opposition to the President. It was not just Speaker Nancy Pelosi (“The President’s decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Northern Syria is a deeply … Continue reading Turkey, Syria and Politics

There are only a few high profile elections coming this November. Accordingly, we have decided to profile a few of the local New England races that may offer insight into the political trends in our communities. Today, we highlight the race for First Selectman in Greenwich, CT. Greenwich is a wealthy suburban town comprised of … Continue reading 2019 Election Watch: Greenwich CT First Selectman Race