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After two lackluster days of declining viewership (off 27% and 24% v. 2016), the DNC launched another day utilizing the same scripted content. The day 3 programming started by focusing on gun violence with various citizens reciting the gun violence plaguing the cities. Yet, the topic was awkward as the DNC has also embraced the … Continue reading Day 3 DNC: Antagonizing the Midwestern Voter

Day 2 of the DNC was intended to convey a sense of unity among Democrats. But even before any of the heavily edited infomercials could be shown, the narrative took a wrong turn. The day got off to a bad start when the Daily Mail published photos of former President Bill Clinton getting a massage … Continue reading Day 2 of DNC Goes Off Script

We enjoy following the political betting markets because they reflect actual money trading hands, rather than pundits telling us what they think will benefit their preferred party candidates. Today, we start a new series: our top 3 takeaways and our top 3 bets for those who want to make money on politics. First, let’s start … Continue reading Political Betting Market Update

Today was the first night of the virtual DNC Convention. We watched all two hours of the programmed event and found it a low energy affair that was very disjointed. Here are our key takeaways: The night was one pre-programmed video session that seemed disjointed and outright boring, lacking any suspense and excitement. A few … Continue reading A Low Energy, Disjointed Start to DNC Convention

We’ve been highlighting for about two weeks that we think the race for the White House is tightening. Tonight, CNN grudgingly told its readers that indeed the race was tightening. CNN’s latest monthly poll has Biden leading 50% to 46%, a 10% shift in one month. That is a huge move and reflects polling after … Continue reading CNN: “Biden and Trump Matchup Tightens”

There are a host of interesting political predictions and polls out. Let’s start with the pundits. Nate Silver at 538 released his long awaited Presidential model and strangely enough it says that Biden has a 72% chance of winning while Trump is at 28%. What’s so strange about this prediction? Well, it’s exactly the same … Continue reading Interesting Polls and Predictions

On Tuesday, Biden selected Senator Kamala Harris as his VP running mate. Biden’s selection was met by praise from Democratic faithful and derision by President Trump and his Republican supporters. We think the selection was neither a home run nor a disaster. Let’s review how we got here. Biden promised that he would select a … Continue reading Biden settles for Kamala

As we approach the Fall, it is becoming clear that the election is tightening. A few weeks ago as CNN and MSNBC were reporting on the coronavirus pandemic and jobless claims were growing due to the lockdown, it appeared that Joe Biden was headed to a landslide victory over President Trump. Now, four weeks later, … Continue reading Why the election is tightening

Having promised to select a female Vice President, Biden seems to be struggling to select a Vice President. Originally, Biden indicated that he would be announcing his selection this week, but news has now trickled out of the campaign that Biden has not yet made a decision and has pushed back his decision to at … Continue reading Biden Struggles to Pick a VP

There is an increasingly large political divide between Republicans and Democrats on the use of absentee ballots or votes by mail. According to a recent poll by ABC / Washington Post, 50% of Democrats but only 20% of Republicans plan to vote by mail. Democrats appear increasingly nervous of voting due to fears about coronavirus. … Continue reading Will Absentee Ballots result in Trump Win?