As Northern Marianas Goes, so Goes the Nation?

Yesterday brought welcome relief to the Sanders campaign as Sanders bested Biden in the Northern Marianas Democratic Convention which is open to all registered Democrats. Northern Marianas? Yes, if you are like us, you know that Northern Marianas is in the Pacific but really don’t know much more. Moreover, it seems somewhat odd that Northern … Continue reading As Northern Marianas Goes, so Goes the Nation?

Democratic Debate Preview: Sanders’ Last Chance? Where’s Tulsi?

Tomorrow night at 8 PM, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden will sit down in front of cameras, but no live audience, for the next Democratic Presidential debate. The moderators are CNN’s Dana Bash and Jake Tapper and Univision’s Ilia Calderon. Missing will be Tulsi Gabbard, as the DNC changed the rules after Gabbard won delegates … Continue reading Democratic Debate Preview: Sanders’ Last Chance? Where’s Tulsi?

Politics of Coronavirus: No Slam Dunk for Biden

The coronavirus pandemic has pushed the Democratic race for the White House from the headlines and rocked financial markets, pushing the S&P 500 into the first bear market since the financial crisis. While diseases are not inherently political, the media is doing its best to turn the current pandemic into a political football. We see … Continue reading Politics of Coronavirus: No Slam Dunk for Biden

Democrats Settle for Biden

Vice President Joe Biden appears headed for another huge night. As we write, Biden has scored impressive victories over Sanders in Mississippi, Missouri, and Michigan. It’s possible that Sanders will eke out wins in the West Coast, but judging by the margins in Michigan (Biden +12), Missouri (Biden +28), and Mississippi (Biden +65), it seems … Continue reading Democrats Settle for Biden

Super Tuesday Part 2

On Tuesday March 10, the Presidential primaries will resume with Joe Biden battling Bernie Sanders across six states: Michigan, Idaho, Washington, Mississippi, Missouri, and North Dakota. Based on polls and the recent elections on Super Tuesday, Biden is heavily favored in Mississippi and Missouri and slightly favored to win in Michigan. North Dakota and Idaho … Continue reading Super Tuesday Part 2

2 Surprises from Super Tuesday: huge Republican turnout & Democratic delegate race closer than reported.

The primary narrative about Super Tuesday was that Joe Biden had a great night, exceeding expectations. We agree. That said, there are at least two big stories that the media seems to have missed. First, turnout in the Republican primaries was very impressive on Super Tuesday. We knew that Democratic turnout would be aided by … Continue reading 2 Surprises from Super Tuesday: huge Republican turnout & Democratic delegate race closer than reported.

Biden Surges on Super Tuesday

We had expected Bernie Sanders to win big on Super Tuesday. We were wrong. The night belongs to Joe Biden. Biden has scored big victories throughout the South (Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Oklahoma) as well as Massachusetts and Minnesota. We knew that Biden was going to do well in the South but … Continue reading Biden Surges on Super Tuesday

Sanders likely to win on Super Tuesday

Tonight the Democratic Establishment is scrambling to stop Bernie Sanders. With key endorsements from Amy Klobuchar, Pete Buttigieg, and Beto O’Rourke, the Establishment is attempting to rally behind Joe Biden. Suddenly, many forecasters are suggesting that it’s a toss-up between Biden and Sanders. Nate Silver’s 538 says Biden and Sanders have an equal chance of … Continue reading Sanders likely to win on Super Tuesday

Biden v. Sanders (and possibly Bloomberg)

South Carolina provided a decisive victory for Joe Biden. Favored to win, Joe Biden easily surpassed expectations winning 48.4% of the vote and winning decisively over Bernie Sanders who won 19.9% of the vote. Biden picked up 39 delegates to Sanders 15, leaving Sanders with a 60 to 54 lead over Biden in delegates won … Continue reading Biden v. Sanders (and possibly Bloomberg)

Could Republicans win back CT congressional districts?

For years, the 4th Congressional District was known as a swing district. The Congressional seat was held by liberal Republicans like Christopher Shays and Stewart McKinney. In 2008, Democrat Jim Himes defeated Shays on the coattails of Barack Obama, winning with 51% of the vote. Himes portrayed himself as a moderate and attempted to create … Continue reading Could Republicans win back CT congressional districts?